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Estimating Applications, Transfers and Accepted Offers to the College


Primary Research Group has published Estimating Applications, Transfers and Accepted Offers to the College, ISBN 978-1-57440-312-1.

This study is based on a comparison of how 16 colleges attempt to estimate the number of applications that the college will receive, how many offers will be accepted by students, as well as how many transfer in and out of the college will occur. The study helps its readers to answer questions such as: How do colleges predict the number of applications that they will receive? How do they estimate the impact on applications and acceptances of demographic trends, the state of the economy, level of financial aid offered, and the characteristics of college that are viewed as alternatives. How many colleges hire consultants to help predict these numbers? Which consultants do they hire and how much do they pay them? How close are their predictions? Have they gotten better or worse at such forecasts in recent years? How do they predict the likely majors that their incoming students will choose? Are they able to accurately predict dropout rates? How close do they come each year in forecasting the number of foreign student applications?

Just a few of the report's many findings are that:

  • Close to a third of survey participants could predict the number of accepted offers of those extended within 3% of the actual acceptance rate.
  • All the colleges charging more than $30,000 per year in annual tuition believe they had made either a great or significant effort to predict the number of incoming undergraduate applications to the college. All the colleges that believe that they had not enough charge less than $10,000 per year in annual tuition.
  • Less than half of survey participants were satisfied with their capabilities in predicting the flower of transfers into the college.

The study is available directly from Primary Research Group and also from major distributors of books and research reports. Print and PDF versions are available for $98.00. Site licenses are also available. For a table of contents, free excerpt, list of survey participants and the questionnaire, or to place an order, visit our website at www.PrimaryResearch.com